Antonelli leads the drivers' standings with seven wins in 13 rounds and recently won the Italian Grand Prix from 19th on the grid. His record of success on new circuits and the confidence of prediction markets position him as the clear favorite for Madrid's debut qualifying session.

Sources

Spanish Grand Prix Odds 2026: A Track No F1 Car Has Raced | OddsShopper

oddsshopper.com

F1 Spanish Grand Prix Prediction, Picks & Odds: Madring ...

sports.yahoo.com

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evidence

McLaren driver Lando Norris is a strong contender for the Madring qualifying due to his car's str...

evidence

Charles Leclerc expects qualifying at the Madring to be exciting but challenging, with overtaking...

perspective

While Antonelli is favored, the Madring's unique layout and lack of historical F1 data introduce ...

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Predicting the Winner of F1 Qualifying at Madrid's Debut Circuit

Evidence, perspectives, rabbit holes, and more

Andrea Kimi Antonelli is the favorite to win qualifying at Madrid's Madring circuit in 2026.

Sources